Climatic suitability influences species specific abundance patterns of Australian flying foxes and risk of Hendra virus spillover.

"we then ran a correlation test between these density models and the dnc models3 we were able to calibrate at least one model that performed better than random (table of auc ratios in supplementary data 1) for each ff species ( fig 1 )."

"Disclosure GM and CY conceived and designed the study. BR collected Pteropus alecto and P. poliocephalus presence localities. CC provided statistical advice during the design. RP and LS helped to develop the theoretical background, and RW collected the flying fox abundance data. Conflicts of interest None."

"The College of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University was contracted by the Rural Industries Research and Development Corporation to undertake this research project. This research was funded by the Commonwealth of Australia, the State of New South Wales and the State of Queensland under the National Hendra Virus Research Program, grant number PRJ-008213. HeV incident locations were provided courtesy of the State of Queensland, through the Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Biosecurity Queensland. We would like to thank Craig Smith and Dr. Hume Field for facilitating access to the data necessary for this study."